Seit 2018: Außerplanmäßiger Professor für Angewandte Mathematik an der Universität Potsdam
2008-2018: Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter und Dozent im Institut für Mathematik an der Universität Potsdam
2006: Lehrbefugnis ("Privatdozent"), Universität Potsdam
2006: Habilitation (Dr. rer. nat. habil.), Universität Potsdam
2005: Gastaufenthalte an der University of Southern California, Los Angeles (USC) und der University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB)
1999-2008: wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter an der Universität Potsdam (Institut für Physik/Institut für Mathematik/Sonderforschungsbereich 555)
1999: Promotion (Dr. rer. nat.), Universität Potsdam
1995: Diplom (Dipl. Phys.), Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn

Tätigkeiten

seit 2017: Principal Investigator im DFG Sonderforschungsbereich 1294 (Data Assimilation - The seamless integration of data and models)
seit 2015: Principal Investigator in der DFG Graduiertenschule NatRiskChange (Natural hazards and risks in a changing world)
seit 2009: Vertrauensdozent der Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung
2015: Organisator des "9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology" in Potsdam
2010-2014: "Scientific Officer" für "Earthquake Hazards" in der Division "Natural Hazards" der European Geosciences Union
2006-2014: Associate Editor von Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
2006: Gast-Herausgeber von Tectonophysics
Gutachter für zahlreiche Fachjournale, u.a. Science, Geophys. Res. Lett., J. Geophys. Res., Geophys. J. Int., Seismol. Res. Lett., Bull. Seimol. Soc. Am.

Auswahl aktueller Veröffentlichungen (peer reviewed)

Zöller, G. and Hainzl, S., Seismicity scenarios for the remaining operating period of the gas field in Groningen, Netherlands, Seismological Research Letters, doi 10.1785/0220220308, https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article/doi/10.1785/0220220308/619380/Seismicity-Scenarios-for-the-Remaining-Operating (2022).
Zöller, G., Hainzl, S., Tilmann, F., Woith, H., and Dahm, T. (2020). Comment on "Potential short-term earthquake forecasting by farm animal monitoring'' by Wikelski, Mueller, Scocco, Catorci, Desinov, Belyaev, Keim, Pohlmeier, Fechteler, and Mai, Ethology, doi 10.1111/ETH.13105, open access article: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eth.13105.
Shcherbakov, R., Zhuang, J., Zöller, G. and Ogata, Y. (2019). Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake, Nature Communications, 10: 4051. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11958-4.
Zöller, G. (2018). A Statistical Model for Earthquake Recurrence Based on the Assimilation of Paleoseismicity, Historic Seismicity, and Instrumental Seismicity, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 123. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JB015099.

Vollständige Publikationsliste (peer reviewed)

2024

Zöller, G.
Recurrence times of large earthquakes: assimilating the effect of seismic coupling into a renewal model, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, in press (2024).

2023

Maleki Asayesh, B., Hainzl, S. and Zöller, G.
Depth‐Dependent Aftershock Trigger Potential Revealed by 3D‐ETAS Modeling. - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 128 (6), e2023JB026377. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JB026377 (2023).
Sharma, S., Hainzl, S. and Zöller, G.
Seismicity parameters dependence on main shock-induced co-seismic stress. Geophysical Journal International,235(1), 509-517. doi:10.1093/gji/ggad201 (2023).
Zöller, G. and Hainzl, S.,
Seismicity scenarios for the remaining operating period of the gas field in Groningen, Netherlands,
Seismological Research Letters 94(2A), 805-812, doi 10.1785/0220220308 (2023).

2022

Zöller, G.
A note on the estimation of the maximum possible earthquake magnitude based on extreme value theory for the Groningen gas field,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 112(4), 1825-1831, doi 10.1785/0120210307 (2022).
Sharma, S, Hainzl, S., Zöller, G.
Seismicity parameter dependence on mainshock induced co-seismic stress,
in review (2022).
Molkenthin, C., Donner, C., Reich, S., Zöller, G., Hainzl, S., Holschneider, M. and Opper,
GP-ETAS: Semiparametric Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model,
Statistics and Computing 32:29, doi 10.1007/s11222-022-10085-3 (2022).

2021

Schoppa, L., Kreibich H., Sieg, T., Vogel, K., and Zöller, G.
Developing multivariable probabilistic flood loss models for companies,
FLOODrisk 2020 - 4th European Conference on Flood Risk Management, doi 10.3311/FloodRisk2020.11.12 (2021).

2020

Zöller, G., Hainzl, S., Tilmann, F., Woith, H., and Dahm, T.
Comment on "Potential short-term earthquake forecasting by farm animal monitoring'' by Wikelski, Mueller, Scocco, Catorci, Desinov, Belyaev, Keim, Pohlmeier, Fechteler, and Mai,
Ethology, doi 10.1111/ETH.13105 (2020).
Sharma, S., Hainzl, S., Zöller, G., and Holschneider M.
Is Coulomb stress the best choice for aftershock forecasting?,
Journal of Geophysical Research, doi 10.1029/2020JB019553 (2020).
Schoppa, L., Sieg, T., Vogel, K., Zöller, G., and Kreibich, H.
Probabilistic Flood Loss Models for Companies,
Water Resources Research, doi 10.1029/2020WR027649 (2020).
Richter, G., Hainzl, S., Dahm, T., and Zöller, G.
Stress-based, statistical modeling of the induced seismicity at the Groningen Gas Field, The Netherlands,
Environmental Earth Sciences, 79, 252, doi 10.1007/s12665-020-08941-4 (2020).
Laudan, J., Zöller, G., and Thieken, A. H.
Flash floods versus river floods – a comparison of psychological impacts and implications for precautionary behaviour,
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, 999-1023, doi 10.5194/nhess-20-999-2020 (2020).

2019

Shcherbakov, R., Zhuang, J., Zöller, G. and Ogata, Y.
Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake,
Nature Communications, 10: 4051, doi 10.1038/s41467-019-11958-4 (2019).
Salamat, M., Zöller, G. and Amini, M.
Prediction of the maximum expected earthquake magnitude in Iran from a catalog with varying magnitude of completeness and uncertain magnitudes,
Pure and Applied Geophysics 176 (8), 3425–3438, doi 10.1007/s00024-019-02141-3 (2019).

2018

M. Salamat, G. Zöller, M. Zare, and M. Amini
The maximum expected earthquake magnitudes in different future time intervals of six seismotectonic zones of Iran and its surroundings,
Journal of Seismology, 22, 1485–1498 (2018).
B. Fiedler, S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and M. Holschneider
Detection of Gutenberg–Richter b-value changes in earthquake time series,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108 (5A), 2778-2787, doi 10.1785/0120180091 (2018).

G. Zöller
A statistical model for earthquake recurrence based on the assimilation of paleo-, historic, and instrumental seismicity,
Journal of Geophysical Research, 123, 4906-4921, doi 10.1029/2017JB015099. (2018).

B. Fiedler, G. Zöller, M. Holschneider, and S. Hainzl
Multiple change-point detection in spatio-temporal seismicity data,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(3A), 1147-1159, doi 10.1785/0120170236 (2018).

2017

G. Zöller and M. Holschneider
Reply to "Comment on 'The Maximum Possible and the Maximum Expected Earthquake Magnitude for Production-Induced Earthquakes at the Gas Field in Groningen, The Netherlands' by Mathias Raschke",
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(2), 1929-1930, doi 10.1785/0120170131. (2017).

G. Zöller
Comment to ``Estimation of Earthquake Hazard Parameters from Incomplete Data Files. Part III. Incorporation of Uncertainty of Earthquake-Occurrence Model'' by Andrzej Kijko, Ansie Smit, and Markvard A. Sellevoll,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 107(4), 1975-1978, doi 10.1785/0120160193. (2017).

M. Salamat, M. Zare, G. Zöller, and M. Holschneider
Calculation of confidence intervals for the maximum magnitude of earthquakes in different seismotectonic zones of Iran,
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 174(3), 763-777, doi 10.1007/s00024-016-1418-5 (2017).

2016

G. Zöller and M. Holschneider
The maximum possible and the maximum expected earthquake magnitude for production-induced earthquakes at the gas field in Groningen, The Netherlands,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 106(6), 2917-2921, doi 10.1785/0120160220 (2016).

G. Zöller and M. Holschneider
The earthquake history in a fault zone tells us almost nothing about m_max,
Seismological Research Letters, 87(1), 132-137, doi 10.1785/0220150176 (2016).

2015

G. Zöller, S. Ullah, D. Bindi, S. Parolai, and N. Mikhailova
The largest expected earthquake magnitudes in Central Asia: Statistical inference from an earthquake catalog with uncertain magnitudes,
The Geological Society of London, Special Publication "Seismicity, Fault Rupture and Earthquake Hazards in Slowly Deforming Regions" (2015).

S. Maghsoudi, S. Cesca, S. Hainzl, T. Dahm, G. Zöller, and D. Kaiser
Maximum magnitude of completeness in a salt mine,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(3), 1491-1501, doi 10.1785/0120140039 (2015).

L. Wang, G. Zöller, and S. Hainzl
Joint determination of slip and stress drop in a Bayesian inversion approach: A case study for the 2010 M8.8 Maule earthquake,
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 172, 375-388, doi 10.1007/s00024-014-0868-x (2015).

2014

G. Zöller and M. Holschneider
Induced seismicity: What is the size of the largest expected earthquake?,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(6), 3153-3158, doi 10.1785/0120140195 (2014).

L. Wang, S. Hainzl, and G. Zöller
Assessment of stress coupling among the inter-, co- and post- seismic phases related to the 2004 M6 Parkfield earthquake,
Geophysical Journal International, 197, 1858-1868, doi 10.1093/gji/ggu102 (2014).

G. Zöller and Y. Ben-Zion
Large earthquake hazard of the San Jacinto fault zone, CA, from long record of simulated seismicity assimilating the available instrumental and paleoseismic data,
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 171(11), 2955-2965, doi 10.1007/s00024-014-0783-1 (2014).

M. Holschneider, G. Zöller, R. Clements, and D. Schorlemmer
Can we test for the maximum possible earthquake magnitude?,
Journal of Geophysical Research, 119(3), 2019-2028, doi 10.1002/2013JB010319 (2014).

G. Zöller, M. Holschneider, S. Hainzl, and J. Zhuang
The largest expected earthquake magnitudes in Japan: The statistical perspective,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 104(2), 769-779, doi 10.1785/0120130103 (2014).

2013

G. Zöller
Convergence of the frequency-magnitude distribution of global earthquakes: Maybe in 200 years,
Geophysical Research Letters, 40(15), 3873-3877, doi 10.1002/grl.50779 (2013).

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, G. Brietzke, and K.-G. Hintzen
Comparison of deterministic and stochastic earthquake simulators for fault interactions in the Lower Rhine Embayment, Germany,
Geophysical Journal International, 195(1), 684-694, doi 10.1093/gji/ggt271 (2013).

G. Zöller, M. Holschneider, and S. Hainzl
The maximum earthquake magnitude in a time horizon: Theory and case studies,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 103(2a), 860-875, doi 10.1785/0120120013 (2013).

2012

L. Wang, S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and M. Holschneider
Stress- and aftershock- constrained joint inversions for co- and post- seismic slip applied to the 2004 M6.0 Parkfield earthquake,
Journal of Geophysical Research,117(B7), doi:10.1029/2011JB009017 (2012).

2011

M. Holschneider, G. Zöller, and S. Hainzl
Estimation of the maximum possible magnitude in the framework of the doubly-truncated Gutenberg-Richter model,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 101(4), 1649-1659, doi 10.1785/0120100289 (2011).

2010

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, M. Holschneider, and G. Brietzke
Steady-state solutions of rupture propagation in an earthquake simulator governed by rate and state dependent friction,
The European Physical Journal Special Topics, 191, 105-115, doi 10.1140/epjst/e2010-01344-6 (2010).
S. Hainzl, G. Brietzke, and G. Zöller
Quantitative earthquake forecasts resulting from static stress-triggering,
Journal of Geophysical Research, 115(B11), B 11311, doi 10.1029/2010JB007473(2010).
S. Shin, G. Zöller, M. Holschneider, and S. Reich
A multigrid solver for modeling complex interseismic stress fields,
Computers & Geosciences, 37(8), 1075-1082, doi 10.1016/j.cageo.2010.11.011(2010).
G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, and M. Holschneider
Recurrence of large earthquakes: Bayesian inference from catalogs in the presence of magnitude uncertainties,
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 167(6-7), 845-853, doi 10.1007/s00024-010-0078-0 (2010).
S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and R. Wang
Impact of the receiver fault distribution on aftershock activity,
Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, B 05315, doi 10.1029/2008JB006224 (2010).

2009

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, Y. Ben-Zion, and M. Holschneider - Review article
Critical states of seismicity: From models to practical seismic hazard estimates,
Encyclopedia of Complexity and System Science (Section: Complexity in earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes, and forecasting and early warning of their hazards; ed. by W.H.K. Lee), Springer, ISBN: 978-0-387-75888-6 (2009).

2008

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, and M. Holschneider
Recurrent large earthquakes in a fault region: What can be inferred from small and intermediate events?
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 98(6), 2641-2651, doi 10.1785/0120080146 (2008).

2007

G. Zöller and S. Hainzl
Recurrence time distributions of large earthquakes in a stochastic model for coupled fault systems: the role of fault interaction,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 97(5), 1679-1697, doi 10.1785/0120060262 (2007).

G. Zöller, Y. Ben-Zion, M. Holschneider, and S. Hainzl
Estimating recurrence times and seismic hazard of large earthquakes on an individual fault,
Geophysical Journal International, 170, 1300-1310, doi 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2007.03480.x (2007).

2006

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and I. Main
Introduction to special issue: Dynamics of seismicity patterns and earthquake triggering,
Tectonophysics, 424, 135-138, doi 10.1016/j.tecto.2006.03.034 (2006).

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, Y. Ben-Zion, and M. Holschneider
Earthquake activity related to seismic cycles in a model for a heterogeneous strike-slip fault,
Tectonophysics, 423, 137-145, doi 10.1016/j.tecto.2006.03.007 (2006).

G. Zöller
Critical states of seismicity - modeling and data analysis, Habilitation thesis, University of Potsdam (2006).
PDF (18.8 MB)

2005

G. Zöller, M. Holschneider, and Y. Ben-Zion
The role of heterogeneities as a tuning parameter of earthquake dynamics,
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 162, 1027-1049, doi 10.1007/s00024-004-2660-9 (2005).

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, M. Holschneider, and Y. Ben-Zion
Aftershocks resulting from creeping sections in a heterogeneous fault,
Geophysical Reserach Letters, 32, L03308, doi 10.1029/2004GL021871 (2005).
Selected as AGU Journal Highlight

2004

G. Zöller, M. Holschneider, and Y. Ben-Zion
Quasi-static and quasi-dynamic modeling of earthquake failure at intermediate scales,
Pure and Applied Geophysics, 161, 2103-2118, doi 10.1007/s00024-004-2551-0 (2004).

2003

C. Narteau, P. Shebalin, S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and M. Holschneider
Emergence of a band-limited power law in the aftershock decay rate of a slider-block model,
Geophysical Research Letters, 30, doi 10.1029/2003GL017110 (2003).

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and F. Scherbaum
Earthquake clusters resulting from delayed rupture propagation in finite fault segments,
Journal of Geophysical Research 108, doi 10.1029/2001JB000610 (2003).

2002

I. Zaliapin, Z. Liu, G. Zöller, V. Keilis-Borok, and D. Turcotte
On increase of earthquake correlation length prior to large earthquakes in California,
Computational Seismology 33, 141-161 (2002).

G. Zöller and S. Hainzl
A systematic spatiotemporal test of the critical point hypothesis for large earthquakes,
Geophysical Research Letters 29, doi 10.1029/2002GL014856 (2002).

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, J. Kurths, and J. Zschau
A systematic test on precursory seismic quiescence in Armenia,
Natural Hazards 26, 245-263 (2002).

2001

G. Zöller and S. Hainzl
Detecting premonitory seismicity patterns based on critical point dynamics,
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 1, 93-98 (2001).

S. Hainzl and G. Zöller
The role of disorder and stress concentration in nonconservative fault systems,
Physica A 294, 67-84 (2001).

G. Zöller, S. Hainzl, and J. Kurths
Observation of growing correlation length as an indicator for critical point behavior prior to large earthquakes,
Journal of Geophysical Research 106, 2167-2176 (2001).

2000

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and J. Kurths
Self-organization of spatio-temporal earthquake clusters,
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 7, 21-29 (2000).

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, J. Kurths, and J. Zschau
Seismic quiescence as an indicator for large earthquakes in a system of self-organized criticality,
Geophysical Research Letters 27, 597-600 (2000).

1999

G. Zöller
Analyse raumzeitlicher Muster in Erdbebendaten,
PhD thesis (in German), University of Potsdam (1999).
PDF (8.2 MB)

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and J. Kurths
Similar power laws for fore- and aftershock sequences in a spring-block model for earthquakes,
Journal of Geophysical Research 104, 7243-7253 (1999).

S. Hainzl, G. Zöller, and J. Kurths
Self-organized criticality model for earthquakes: quiescence, foreshocks, and aftershocks,
International Journal of Bifurcations and Chaos 9, 2249-2255 (1999).